Thursday, June 26, 2014

F-35 News. The first fallout from the fire hits the program hard...

Thanks Don for the link...


via The Globe and Mail...
The Harper government is pressing pause on a decision to buy new jet fighters, including whether to purchase Lockheed Martin’s F-35 Lightning II without holding a competition, because it feels ministers need more information on other options before selecting a course of action.
There will be no decision this month on the next step – whether to hold a competition for a new plane or purchase the F-35 outright – and it is very unlikely anything will be announced even by mid-July, The Globe and Mail has learned.
Prime Minister Stephen Harper removed the item from the agenda of a recent meeting of cabinet’s priorities and planning committee to give ministers more time to deliberate and gather information, people familiar with the matter say. Priorities and planning is the main cabinet committee that provides strategic direction.
Sources say the government feels it’s being rushed and pressured by the Canadian Armed Forces and parts of the civil service to purchase the F-35 without a competition. The government, which took a serious credibility hit in 2012 over its poor management of the procurement process, is now concerned only one fully fleshed-out option has been presented for review and that it resembled a decision to be ratified rather than a well-developed option.
Ottawa appeared on track to decide before the end of June after Public Works Minister Diane Finley announced in April that cabinet would take the “next several weeks” to review all reports on jet options that had been prepared as part of a “reset” of the fighter procurement process. As recently as mid-June, senior officials were talking privately about a decision in the next couple of weeks, and the government paved the way with a news conference where arm’s-length experts praised fighter option deliberations on a replacement as “rigorous and impartial.”
Now, however, the Conservatives are trying to take it slower, concerned that the civil service was pushing too heavily for a decision to buy the F-35 fighters without competition before Ottawa had sufficiently considered the matter. These would replace Canada’s aging CF-18 jets.
“Cabinet hasn’t decided when they will decide, and haven’t determined what they’ll decide,” a senior government official said. “What has been determined is that they will take the necessary time to review the reports, and make a careful, considered decision.”
Those desperately needed foreign orders...especially from Canada...has failed to materialize.

Consider this the first fallout from the fire (and the earlier grounding).

What does this mean?  It means that they won't be able to "push the cost curve" down.  It means that this expensive airplane will continue to be expensive.

Have you noticed that the planned buy by the Brits has failed to happen?

THIS IS THE DEATH SPIRAL!

The Program Office must be frenzied.  They can see it all slipping away and there isn't a thing they can do about it. 

6 comments :

  1. Well you've heard me say this before, there is no "F-35" to buy, and there won't be for at least five more years. All they have currently are prototypes which will be used to make a production decision. So not buying F-35 should be a no-brainer.

    Unfortunately the US has been able to strong-arm five of the eight F-35 partners to procure very expensive F-35 prototypes which don't compare with the final F-35 design (if there ever is one) and are completely useless. And the US will keep trying, to "ramp up production." Production which doesn't legally exist, not having gone through a Milestone C decision.

    It didn't work with the current Canada government, which is trying to reach a balanced budget before the next election. Canada was holding back, waiting, and it took advantage of the recent Eglin event to announce what it had been planning anyhow.

    The F-35 program is still deep in development phase, with a lot of faults in the program management and on the plane. Can it last FIVE MORE YEARS in development until a Milestone C production decision? Hell no, IMHO. Not with us helping. heh

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  2. Really? I'm not a fan of the F-35 program or the Canadian military's pursuit of the aircraft, but the recent fire has nothing to do with any decision made by the Canadians up to this point. What seems to be going on is the the F-35's manufacturer has "integrated" itself with top decision makers within the Canadian military and civilian procurement offices, and that has made the politicians in power uncomfortable...

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  3. I commented earlier on the fueldraulic system on the F-35B that is used to actuate the ninety degree nozzle. Apparently there is also a fueldraulic system on the F-35A to actuate the afterburner nozzle.

    On Jan 18, 2013 a F-35B was grounded after a fueldraulic line failure.

    The last two DTO&E reports have mentioned the fueldraulic system.

    DOT&E 2012 Report issued 2013
    Recommendation
    Reconsider the removal of the fueldraulic fuses. The program should design and reinstate an effective engine fueldraulic shutoff system to protect the aircraft from fuel-induced fires.

    2013 DOT&E Report - issued 2014
    Recommendation
    Design and reinstate an effective fueldraulic shut-off system to protect the aircraft from fuel-induced fires. Recent testing has shown that this feature could protect the aircraft from threat-induced fire; this is also a critical flight safety feature.

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    Replies
    1. http://www.flightglobal.com/news/articles/engineers-discover-culprit-behind-f-35b-fueldraulic-line-381574/
      http://aviationweek.com/awin/troublesome-fueldraulic-lines-removed-f-35bs

      Looks like a new issue in a known-problem system.

      Note that they use a fueldraulic (instead of hydraulic) system to save weight. Which they don't have much margin on at all currently. Adding enough reinforcement (weight) to solve this issue might cascade into another weight-saving redesign of the airframe itself. The last time they did that, it cost $6.2B

      Delete
    2. Note that the F35B would be more likely to have a random problem with this kind of system. Which should make Soloman even more cranky about the UK flight.

      Broken fueldraulic line next to a hot engine? Why would that be a problem? ;)

      Delete
  4. "The Program Office must be frenzied"??? Nope, sorry Sol' but it is only you and your cohorts who are frenzied over this. Those of us in the real world are simply calmly going about our job. Keep dreaming about your "death spiral" since that is all it will ever be - a dream!

    ReplyDelete

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